Coronaviruses are a large family of viruses commonly found in people and animals and can sometimes spread from animals to humans. COVID-19 primarily spreads from person to person through contact with the mucous membranes of the eye and nose and is also found in saliva. These shared droplets are able to spread a considerable distance and can remain alive on surfaces. Currently, there is no supported treatment or cure for COVID-19. This project’s objective is to find the intervention threshold in which the spread is reduced below an effective reproductive number of 1 thereby constituting no additional spread. To test our hypothesis, we will be using a stochastic (randomly generated) agent-based simulator designed to be used for COVID-19 epidemic analyses. This model uses the SIR model in conjunction with networking groups to determine the likely course of spread on the population given parameters. The results will give us insight into the efficacy and feasibility of reopening campus for the Fall with interventions in place given the possibility of an outbreak.
Brown, Brinae; Wright, Zack; and Jordan, Tiffany, "Mathematical Modeling of COVID-19 and the Potential Effects on Eastern Washington University Student Population" (2020). 2020 Symposium Posters. 62.
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